| Copyright USA Today Information
Network Aug 17, 1999
Every Tuesday
Some rules have been around as long as
there have been mothers: Eat your vegetables. Don't hit
your sister. Floss.
The investment world has similar
maxims: Buy and hold. Don't try to time the market. Buy
what you know.
Sensible rules. But when it comes to
Internet stocks, that last maxim could cost you some
serious money.
Mutual fund legend Peter Lynch
popularized the "buy what you know" theory of investing
a decade ago in his book, One Up On Wall Street: How To
Use What You Already Know To Make Money In the Market.
Lynch's success as manager of the Fidelity Magellan
mutual fund spurred millions of investors to scour
shopping malls and grocery stores for investment
inspiration. Long lines at Wal-Mart prompted Lynch-like
investors to devour the company's annual reports.
These days, investors with home
computers don't even have to leave the house for ideas.
Rigo Santiago, for example, owns stock in Ameritrade and
E-Trade. Santiago, 40, of West Hollywood, Fla., says he
was attracted to the on-line brokerages because he has
used them to trade stocks.
Likewise, Gwen Hopkins, 45, of Howell,
Mich., invested in Amazon.com after buying products from
the on-line bookseller. "I feel it's going to be a
tremendous company for years to come," she says.
That kind of talk unnerves some
financial planners. David Yeske, a planner in San
Francisco, maintains his firm's World Wide Web site and
uses the Internet to communicate with some of his
clients. Because he's so clearly a fan of technology and
the Internet, Yeske says, it's sometimes difficult for
him to convince a client that his or her favorite
Internet companies aren't great investments.
Yeske believes popular e-consumer
companies, such as Amazon, eBay and eToys, will have a
tough time staying ahead of the competition. Compared
with start-up costs at Internet infrastructure
companies, it doesn't cost much to start a retail Web
business, Yeske says. But while some companies have
established a brand identity with consumers, maintaining
that identity requires expensive advertising campaigns,
Yeske says. That eats into profits, which may explain
why many e-consumer companies don't have any.
So, if you're bent on investing in the
Internet, you might be much better off investing in
infrastructure companies that you've never heard of. As
the USA TODAY Internet 100 Index (see page 4B)
indicates, infrastructure companies fared much better in
the recent sell-off than retailers that sell toys, cars
and CDs. The average e-infrastructure company is down
only 4.9% since June 30, vs. a decline of 26.3% for the
average e-retail company.
E-infrastructure companies are like
manufacturers of auto components: You can't see their
products, but your car won't start without them. And
because starting an infrastructure company is costly,
existing players are less vulnerable to competition.
Some even have earnings.
That doesn't mean e-infrastructure
stocks are cheap. While they don't have the mass appeal
of e-consumer companies, infrastructure stocks have
benefited tremendously from Internet mania. On Friday,
for instance, Copper Mountain Networks, which makes
high-speed networking equipment, rose 28%. Since it went
public in May, the company's stock is up 58%.
A safer way to bet on these stocks is
to look for a diversified mutual fund with a smart
manager and a sprinkling of e-infrastructure stocks.
Christine Benz, an analyst for fundtracker Morningstar,
says Janus Global Technology, T. Rowe Price Science and
Technology and Northern Technology (see chart) all own
e-infrastructure stocks but leaven their portfolios with
other, less-volatile tech stocks.
If you chose to delve into the
e-infrastructure arena, either through individual stocks
or mutual funds, do your research. Peter Lynch never
told investors to buy stock in a company based on what
they saw at the mall. That's just the starting point. He
said you also need to study a company's balance sheet,
read its annual report, and find out what its
competitors are doing.
That rule still holds, whether you're
investing in semiconductors or laundry detergent. Buying
stocks or funds without researching them first is like
running with scissors. And you know what Mom has to say
about that.
Your Money appears Tuesdays and
Fridays.
Questions? Write: Your Money, USA
TODAY, 1000 Wilson Blvd., Arlington, Va. 22229. E-mail:
sblock@usatoday.com.
TEXT OF INFO BOX BEGINS HERE
Investing in infrastructure
Three technology funds that invest in
Internet infrastructure companies:
Total
| Fund, phone 800 return
{+1} |
| Janus Global Technology,
525-8983 52.4% |
| Northern Technology, 595-9111
29.6% |
| T. Rowe Price Science &
Technology, 638-5660 29.1% |
| Average general stock fund
5.6% |
| 1-Dividends and gains reinvested
through Aug. 12 |
Sources: Lipper,
Morningstar |